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2024-12-14 12:40:10

Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".


The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.The total output of automobiles in Shenzhen is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles this year. Last year, Shenzhen ranked among the "First City of New Energy Vehicles in China" with an output of 1.733 million vehicles. This year, the total output is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles, and it is expected to win the title of "First City of Automobile in China" again. (released by Shenzhen)Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".


Shanghai Securities: The pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. The Shanghai Securities Research Report pointed out that with the support of policies and the adjustment of the internal structure of the industry, the pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. It is suggested to pay attention to five directions: 1) Innovative drugs (with strong national policy support, the payment terminal is expected to further improve and go to sea to occupy the global market); 2)CXO (the negative impact of the biosafety bill event has been eliminated, and the demand for orders in the superimposed interest rate reduction cycle has increased, which is expected to usher in a double repair of performance and valuation); 3) Imitation and innovation (centralized procurement is expected to clear up, increase innovation, and traditional pharmaceutical companies will usher in new opportunities); 4) Traditional Chinese Medicine (the national policy supports the innovation of traditional Chinese medicine, and its performance is expected to maintain a good growth rate); 5) Medical devices (equipment updating, high-consumption innovation, low-consumption going to sea, etc.). Individual stocks can be concerned about: Baekje Shenzhou, Wuxi PharmaTech, China Resources Sanjiu and so on.The Shenzhen Stock Exchange terminated the audit of four bond projects with a total amount of 5.879 billion yuan. On December 13, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange recently terminated the audit of four bond projects with a total amount of 5.879 billion yuan, and the varieties were small public offerings and private placements.Shangpin home delivery and Shulan signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to Shangpin home delivery, on December 11th, Shangpin home delivery and Shulan formally signed a strategic cooperation agreement at Changshun Group headquarters. The two sides will break through the customized track, explore the path of "customization+software" integration and co-construction, jointly explore market channels, and provide consumers with more convenient, personalized and professional home solutions through integrated and integrated ecological scenarios.

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